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  • How the Green New Deal Would Impact Real Estate Investors

    Depending on your views on climate change, the Green New Deal framework will either conjure up enthusiasm, anxiety, or perhaps a combination of the two. The proposed bill, which has since been explained as a framework towards what we ought to work towards, calls for “maximum energy efficiency”. Based on scientific research, which concludes climate change is imminent and potentially disastrous, the proposal aims for net-zero emissions in the United States by 2050. As part of the plan to get there, this means every building in the country would need to be upgraded for maximal energy efficiency, water efficiency, safety, affordability, comfort, and durability.

    As of the start of 2020, approximately 40% of the United States’ carbon monoxide emissions come from either commercial or residential real estate buildings (Neiditch, Forbes). Many of the political proponents of the Green New Deal were pushing it behind the idea that up to $1 trillion of infrastructure and coastal real estate could be damaged by global warming by 2050. According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), currently, there are approximately 5.6 million commercial real estate buildings in the United States. Specifically in New York City, as part of an ongoing effort to combat climate change, legislation was passed to force buildings that are larger than 25,000 square feet to make energy efficient alterations. The legislation mandates cutting down greenhouse gas emissions 40% by 2030 and 80% by 2050. While the parameters for smaller, residential buildings aren’t as explicit, it’s estimated 95 million homes will be impacted and the cost to owners will be in excess of $400 billion (Neiditch, Forbes).

    While the Green New Deal did not come close to passing as it was originally written and there is unlikely to be sweeping legislation on a national level to overhaul climate change, many cities and states are finding a balance between clean air and economic productivity. Unfortunately, a lot of this conversation tends to be intertwined with politics, but the reality is a rural area in Kentucky (as an example) is not going to have the same availability of economic or human capital resources as a metropolis, like New York or Los Angeles. The lack of availability of these resources puts constraints on the ability of certain regions to advance their technological capabilities, thereby making the real estate investment opportunities unattractive to potential investors.

    Though preparations to meet the 2030 and 2050 targets have begun, there are some more immediate upgrades property owners can make that aren’t as long-term oriented, including switching out lightbulbs for “smart” lighting, upgrading HVAC systems, installing remote-controlled window shades, painting roofs with light-reflecting paint, planting trees, and installing photovoltaics. Additionally, preparation for weatherization is key to having a more energy efficient property. Windows, doors, and insulation can all be switched out and there is legislation to include different types of incentives for property owners to make these changes. Upgrading electric and plumbing systems, as well as installing solar panels can make homes more marketable, considering these changes are becoming more prevalent to the point of necessity. Finally, the Green New Deal framework focuses heavily on “green spaces” – or lawns – that cover more than 40 million acres of land in the United States. Lawns limit biodiversity and encourage pesticide usage and emissions from lawnmowers. The Green New Deal supporters encourage the conversion of these spaces to victory gardens and the expansion of green landscape architecture practices. An example of this is xeriscaping, or sustainable, easy-to-maintain landscaping first used in arid regions, which uses native plants and limits turf areas. This can reduce outdoor water use by as much as 50%, saving water as well as the environment (Neiditch, Forbes).

    So, what does the ambitious Green New Deal framework and the implications it will have on commercial and residential real estate mean for investors? Firstly, investors should focus on high-tech, climate-resilient opportunities in the real estate market. Secondly, residential real estate owners who are not under pressure from legislators to make climate change friendly adjustments to their properties should do so anyway, otherwise they will be far less attractive to prospective investors. Finally, commercial real estate investors, who are under pressure to begin implementing climate change measures mandated by signed legislation, are going to face major hurdles with regards to cost cutting. This legislation poses further challenges to commercial real estate investors, who are already in a difficult position coming out of the pandemic, in addition to facing the necessity to transform their assets to handle the push towards digital transformation. One thing is for sure: the conversation will continue. Being prepared for change is the best way to not only save the environment, but your long-term financial stability as well.

  • CRE PropTech: How Will it be Affected by the Aftermath of COVID-19

    COVID-19 will forever change the landscape of CRE (Commercial Real Estate), especially for firms who are used to operating almost exclusively in a brick and mortar, office environment. The aftermath of COVID-19 will almost undoubtedly include more “smart” CRE. To put it another way, as software like Zoom has become a household name – whereas prior to COVID-19 it was largely known to the white-collar working class – you can expect firms to invest less in physical property. Consequently, the data shows that in every sector, at least in the short-term, PropTech investment has slowed down (Abuelsamid, Forbes).

    Intuitively, successful long-term investors tend to be heavily data driven, which has been a big reason for the slowdown in PropTech. Investors within the real estate sector are exercising caution with regards to their portfolios, as well as towards new deals for CRE projects. A great deal of this is attributed to the initial concept of this piece (which Forbes agrees with): corporations and startup firms alike are showing an increased interest in technology, which allowed them to work “smart” (i.e. Zoom) despite the pandemic (Abuelsamid, Forbes). With decreased overhead being a large incentive for startups and pressure from shareholders to cut costs being a large incentive for big corporations, many are realizing that the way they were forced to do business is perhaps a more efficient way than they were prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.

    With that being said, as we mentioned in a previous piece, PropTech is still a relatively new field to most investors. The CRE investing subsector of PropTech is even smaller, so there’s definitely still plenty of opportunity for successful PropTech investment vehicles. Even with the current data showing there’s slowed growth in the PropTech CRE subsector, that’s not to say you shouldn’t keep an eye out for solid investment opportunities, as they are still out there and can definitely be lucrative. This is the main reason you’ll typically find seasoned, experienced investors in the CRE PropTech space. There is opportunity for large returns, but it is definitely slim.

    In the longer-term, there’s no reason right now to believe firms will switch back to investment in more physical property, especially when that money can be spent on human capital. Therefore, if you’re interested in PropTech investment strategies, you should not expect to see consistent positive performance from PropTech CRE investments. On the other hand – while this subject deserves a complete discussion on its own – residential PropTech is definitely on the rise (Aramati, Forbes). With a major push coming from cloud technologies and digital transformation, there’s a lot more investment in “smart” residential real estate as opposed to commercial real estate. Generally speaking, investments in “smart” technology have gained a tremendous amount of traction and thereby very large returns for earlier stage investors. Again, as we discussed in a previous article regarding PropTech, technological advancement is the future and investors who are looking for the next Amazon or Google in the real estate market ought to look into residential PropTech options with a more favorable outlook than commercial PropTech.

  • CRE PropTech: How Will it be Affected by the Aftermath of COVID-19

    COVID-19 will forever change the landscape of CRE (Commercial Real Estate), especially for firms who are used to operating almost exclusively in a brick and mortar, office environment. The aftermath of COVID-19 will almost undoubtedly include more “smart” CRE. To put it another way, as software like Zoom has become a household name – whereas prior to COVID-19 it was largely known to the white-collar working class – you can expect firms to invest less in physical property. Consequently, the data shows that in every sector, at least in the short-term, PropTech investment has slowed down (Abuelsamid, Forbes).

    Intuitively, successful long-term investors tend to be heavily data driven, which has been a big reason for the slowdown in PropTech. Investors within the real estate sector are exercising caution with regards to their portfolios, as well as towards new deals for CRE projects. A great deal of this is attributed to the initial concept of this piece (which Forbes agrees with): corporations and startup firms alike are showing an increased interest in technology, which allowed them to work “smart” (i.e. Zoom) despite the pandemic (Abuelsamid, Forbes). With decreased overhead being a large incentive for startups and pressure from shareholders to cut costs being a large incentive for big corporations, many are realizing that the way they were forced to do business is perhaps a more efficient way than they were prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.

    With that being said, as we mentioned in a previous piece, PropTech is still a relatively new field to most investors. The CRE investing subsector of PropTech is even smaller, so there’s definitely still plenty of opportunity for successful PropTech investment vehicles. Even with the current data showing there’s slowed growth in the PropTech CRE subsector, that’s not to say you shouldn’t keep an eye out for solid investment opportunities, as they are still out there and can definitely be lucrative. This is the main reason you’ll typically find seasoned, experienced investors in the CRE PropTech space. There is opportunity for large returns, but it is definitely slim.

    In the longer-term, there’s no reason right now to believe firms will switch back to investment in more physical property, especially when that money can be spent on human capital. Therefore, if you’re interested in PropTech investment strategies, you should not expect to see consistent positive performance from PropTech CRE investments. On the other hand – while this subject deserves a complete discussion on its own – residential PropTech is definitely on the rise (Aramati, Forbes). With a major push coming from cloud technologies and digital transformation, there’s a lot more investment in “smart” residential real estate as opposed to commercial real estate. Generally speaking, investments in “smart” technology have gained a tremendous amount of traction and thereby very large returns for earlier stage investors. Again, as we discussed in a previous article regarding PropTech, technological advancement is the future and investors who are looking for the next Amazon or Google in the real estate market ought to look into residential PropTech options with a more favorable outlook than commercial PropTech.

  • CRE Investing Through CrowdStreet

    CrowdStreet™ is an up-and-coming type of crowdfunding website that’s tailored specifically to CRE (Commercial Real Estate) investors. Founded in 2013, the site pairs thousands of investors on their marketplace and pools their money to invest in different CRE properties. The benefits that CrowdStreet claims to provide are: low cost, institutional quality real estate investments that have lower fees than REITs and only include pre-vetted projects.

    As of June 19th, 2021, CrowdStreet has completed 488 deals, raised $1.9B in capital, and returned $197M of investor distributions (www.CrowdStreet.com). With new deals launching every week, the CrowdStreet marketplace is also unique because it gives prospective investors the following three (3) projections on each CRE investment: (1) Targeted Investor IRR, (2) Targeted Equity Multiple, and (3) Targeted Investment Period. Keeping in mind these are all pre-vetted projects, this allows prospective investors to pick from multiple properties based on the attributes that are geared towards their goals.

    Since there are many different types of real estate crowdfunding websites, CrowdStreet in particular distinguishes itself because they target CRE properties specifically. They then break-down individual prospective gains, equity multiples, and the period the investor will have their capital tied up. This allows investors to see a clearer overview of their investment return potential and the amount of time their capital will be utilized for the CRE investment, so they can make more informed decisions, as well as better manage the risk of their overall portfolio. But there’s a catch. While CrowdStreet is continuing to grow along with their user base, an investor account minimum must be $25,000 and the platform is only available to accredited investors. For seasoned CRE investors, that may not be as big of a problem. However, for the average qualifying CRE investor, CrowdStreet’s business model is viewed as highly illiquid.

    Overall, while CrowdStreet offers distinct advantages to CRE investors, its limitations prevent it from reaching a wider audience. Clearly that’s their intention, but perhaps some of the requirements limit the potential success of their offerings. For example, if a non-accredited investor has a higher risk tolerance and is willing to invest the minimum amount, the CRE project may not get financing because that investor wouldn’t be accepted on CrowdStreet. Similarly, if an accredited investor is more risk averse, or is not in a position to immediately invest $25,000 in a given project over a period of years, there is no middle-ground and again, the CRE project may not receive financing. Concisely, within the limited scope of their business model, there is more CrowdStreet can do to broaden their user base and thereby pave the way for more CRE projects to receive financing.

  • Did the Economic Slowdown (as a Result of COVID-19) Actually Impact CRE Positively?

    Did the Economic Slowdown (as a Result of COVID-19) Actually Impact CRE Positively?

    Succinctly, of course not. However, one may argue that the COVID-19 pandemic did create an opportunity for the CRE (Commercial Real Estate) market to generate innovative opportunities for at least this coming year. Some of the opportunities are lessons carried from 2020, when we saw CRE begin to show signs of gradual recovery before returning [Forbes Real Estate Council]. John D’Angelo, Deloitte Consulting’s U.S. Real Estate Leader agreed that at least a few emerging CRE trends will contribute to a recovery in 2021.

    Firstly, global CRE Corporations are researching how to attack the following:

    • Continuously evolving behavioral trends post COVID-19
    • Establishing more secure building spaces
    • Optimal efficiency
    • Improving in recognizing challenges, vulnerabilities, and risks at the early portfolio level

    CRE Corporations especially should be working extra hard to familiarize themselves with the results of this research as these are important trends that will likely impact the CRE market as a whole. Those who understand these trends will be able to provide their clients a better experience with access to this knowledge and, therefore, result in steady sales.

    Secondly (and in fact surprisingly), due to the pandemic, lockdowns have led more companies to have their employees working from home. While it may seem like there would be no use for office space in 2021, there are actually several opportunities in the CRE market for commercial offices that were not there before. Vacancies in high-traffic areas make this the perfect time for commercial owners who are looking to expand.

    While many businesses are still waiting to bring their employees back to the office, there are undoubtedly several good reasons for having an office in a post-COVID environment. In an office, employees have more space to work collaboratively, increasing cooperation and efficiency. CRE owners and investors would be wise to acknowledge the fact that even during the pandemic, there are still business owners out there looking for affordable office space and certainly have this in mind as they make their investment decisions this year.

    Finally, when it comes to e-commerce, an already growing sector prior to 2020, boomed during the pandemic [Forbes Real Estate Council]. In response, retail stores and third-party logistics businesses are not only growing or optimizing their fulfillment center footprints, but many of them are also switching from a “just-in-time” inventory model, to a “just-in-case” approach as they aim to prevent the shortages of goods encountered throughout 2020. As this trend continues, many online shops nationwide will need to lease a warehouse for their growing businesses. This will certainly lead to a steady increase in leasing opportunities in the CRE market that both owners and investors should take advantage of.

  • Did the Economic Slowdown (as a Result of COVID-19) Actually Impact CRE Positively?

    Did the Economic Slowdown (as a Result of COVID-19) Actually Impact CRE Positively?

    Succinctly, of course not. However, one may argue that the COVID-19 pandemic did create an opportunity for the CRE (Commercial Real Estate) market to generate innovative opportunities for at least this coming year. Some of the opportunities are lessons carried from 2020, when we saw CRE begin to show signs of gradual recovery before returning [Forbes Real Estate Council]. John D’Angelo, Deloitte Consulting’s U.S. Real Estate Leader agreed that at least a few emerging CRE trends will contribute to a recovery in 2021.

    Firstly, global CRE Corporations are researching how to attack the following:

    • Continuously evolving behavioral trends post COVID-19
    • Establishing more secure building spaces
    • Optimal efficiency
    • Improving in recognizing challenges, vulnerabilities, and risks at the early portfolio level

    CRE Corporations especially should be working extra hard to familiarize themselves with the results of this research as these are important trends that will likely impact the CRE market as a whole. Those who understand these trends will be able to provide their clients a better experience with access to this knowledge and, therefore, result in steady sales.

    Secondly (and in fact surprisingly), due to the pandemic, lockdowns have led more companies to have their employees working from home. While it may seem like there would be no use for office space in 2021, there are actually several opportunities in the CRE market for commercial offices that were not there before. Vacancies in high-traffic areas make this the perfect time for commercial owners who are looking to expand.

    While many businesses are still waiting to bring their employees back to the office, there are undoubtedly several good reasons for having an office in a post-COVID environment. In an office, employees have more space to work collaboratively, increasing cooperation and efficiency. CRE owners and investors would be wise to acknowledge the fact that even during the pandemic, there are still business owners out there looking for affordable office space and certainly have this in mind as they make their investment decisions this year.

    Finally, when it comes to e-commerce, an already growing sector prior to 2020, boomed during the pandemic [Forbes Real Estate Council]. In response, retail stores and third-party logistics businesses are not only growing or optimizing their fulfillment center footprints, but many of them are also switching from a “just-in-time” inventory model, to a “just-in-case” approach as they aim to prevent the shortages of goods encountered throughout 2020. As this trend continues, many online shops nationwide will need to lease a warehouse for their growing businesses. This will certainly lead to a steady increase in leasing opportunities in the CRE market that both owners and investors should take advantage of.